Public research · PMR / CNG
Connecting-null-geodesic discovery scan
This page is the 20 September 2026 discovery freeze. The confirmatory window had not been computed that day. On 21 September it received a narrow pass, recorded on its own page. The grades below are not rewritten.
AS WRITTEN 2026-09-20: DISCOVERY → STRONG EVIDENCE · CONFIRMATORY SCAN → NOT YET COMPUTED · CNG CONFIRMED → NOT YET · ASYMPTOTIC_STRUCTURE_MIXED · GLOBAL CONFIRM = FALSE
Validation checkpoint VAL-B1-PMR-CNG-DISCOVERY.
Three stages as written on 2026-09-20, before the window was computed
Historical 20 September 2026 discovery freeze: 51/51 at r=6M, ω∈[9.8,10.3], substantial evidence for predeclared ε₁=37.5. As written that day, the confirmatory window had not been computed. On 21 September that window received a narrow pass. Discovery grades D=FAIL and F=CRITERIA_GAP remain. Global structure is not established.
Do not flatten literature expectation, discovery evidence, and independent confirmation into a single “confirmed” stamp.
01 · Literature expectation
ASYMPTOTIC_STRUCTURE_MIXEDLevi–Ori t-splitting subtracts only the local coincidence polynomial. Remote connecting-null-geodesic oscillations remain. Pointwise decay of F_reg is not required before generalized integration. Published envelope at r=6M includes ∼ω^{5/2} for the relevant RSET integrand.
02 · Discovery evidence
STRONG EVIDENCEDense angular-gated scan 9.8≤ω≤10.3, Δω=0.01, 51/51 accepted. Predeclared ε_n never fitted. Fixed ε₁=37.5 H1 explains R²≈0.997 of F_reg^tt. Dominant residual projection is ε₁ by 6.72×. Split-window and tensor-component phases cohere. Not confirmation.
03 · Independent confirmation
AS WRITTEN 2026-09-20: NOT YET COMPUTEDFrozen before computation: non-overlapping window 10.40≤ω≤10.90, Δω=0.01, 51 points, ε₁=37.5 fixed. That is the 20 September wording. On 21 September this pipeline recorded a narrow pass of the predeclared oscillation. It is not a global confirmation. See the confirmation study.
Science plots
Plot 1 · discovery scan
F_reg^tt versus ω, 9.8–10.3
Plot 2 · predeclared projections
Residual |P_n| after the smooth cubic
Plot 3 · cross-component
Normalized tt, rr, and θθ
Dense discovery scan
51 / 51 angular-accepted at r = 6M
- points accepted
- 51 / 51
- radius
- 6M
- state
- Hartle–Hawking
- accepted L
- 120
- ε_n (predeclared)
- 37.5, 70.17, 102.8, 135.5
- frequencies fitted
- NO
ε_n = {37.50, 70.17, 102.8, 135.5} were declared before examining the scan. Frequencies were never fitted to the numerical data. Observed extrema spacings are approximately 0.16–0.17, consistent with λ₁ = 2π/37.5 ≈ 0.16755.
Method audit
Original surrogate discriminator is invalidated
Phase-randomized surrogates that preserve Fourier power also preserve the target spectral magnitude, so a ≥3× spectral-magnitude test cannot recognize even a perfect target sinusoid. A synthetic ε₁=37.5 sinusoid on the same 51-grid produced ratio ∼1.013, essentially the same as the real-data ratio.
The old discriminator called ε₄=135.5 “dominant” because it maximized the surrogate-normalized ratio rather than the actual predeclared projection magnitude |P|.
Actual residual projections: |P₁|=0.20922, |P₂|=0.03114, |P₃|=0.00808, |P₄|=0.00923. Dominant predeclared projection is ε₁=37.5 by 6.72×. Do not retune the old discriminator. It is retired.
Offline re-score
Criteria frozen before the existing 51 points were re-scored
Fixed primary frequency ε₁=37.5, never fitted. Models: H0 = cubic in (ω−10); H1 = cubic + A cos(37.5 ω) + B sin(37.5 ω).
A — Nested smooth vs fixed-CNG
PASSH0 R²≈0.0838. H1 R²≈0.99722. ΔR²≈0.91346.
B — Dominant predeclared projection
PASSε₁=37.5 dominant by 6.72×. Dominant = argmax |P|, not surrogate ratio.
C — Split-window phase coherence
PASSΔφ≈0.0354 rad. Both half-window R²≈0.9985.
D — Cross-half predict
FAILFull H1 cross-half extrapolation. Independently fitted cubic nuisance terms do not transfer. Historical FAIL is retained. Oscillatory-only transfer is diagnostic only and does not promote confirmation.
E — Cross-component coherence
PASStt R²≈0.99722. rr R²≈0.9972. θθ R²≈0.99724. tt and rr phases agree. θθ is approximately π-shifted relative to tt.
F — Smooth-null bootstrap
F_CRITERIA_GAPA_obs≈0.92181, A_med≈0.28115, ratio≈3.28, p99≈0.61481. A_obs > p99 but A_obs/A_med < 5. Frozen F rules did not define this combination. Bookkeeping is F_CRITERIA_GAP, not HOLD.
OVERALL BOOKKEEPING
OFFLINE_RESCORE_UNCLASSIFIED_CRITERIA_GAP
Frozen grades A=PASS, B=PASS, C=PASS, D=FAIL, E=PASS, F=CRITERIA_GAP. The frozen overall decision table did not define this combination. Do not replace it with CNG_STRUCTURE_NOT_RESOLVED. Do not retroactively alter thresholds.
What this supports
Say the weaker true thing
Yes: substantial numerical evidence for the predicted ε₁ CNG oscillatory structure
Yes: After Levi–Ori / PMR local singular subtraction, pointwise decay of F_reg(ω) is not required.
Yes: ASYMPTOTIC_STRUCTURE_MIXED remains the correct asymptotic classification.
Yes: Sparse growth through ω=12 is not automatically subtraction failure.
Not: numerical CNG confirmed
Not: CNG structure supported under the frozen overall table
Not: the old surrogate discriminator can be retuned
Not: a new local subtraction term is needed to force pointwise decay
Not: Abel production is validated
Not: Hartle–Hawking RSET has been reproduced
Not: a traversable gate has been demonstrated
What this page said was next
The window had not been computed on 20 September
As written on 2026-09-20: Frozen before new computation. This window is the primary next scientific discriminator. Results are not yet in. RUNNING is the experiment status, not a confirmation. Frozen discovery tt phase φ_tt ≈ 0.754. ε₁ remains 37.5. That wording is the freeze, not the current status. On 21 September the window received a narrow pass of this pipeline’s predeclared oscillation. It is not a global confirmation.
Locks remain off
- OUR_NUMERICAL_CNG_STRUCTURE_CONFIRMED
- FALSE
- ASYMPTOTIC_STRUCTURE_MIXED_GLOBAL_CONFIRM
- FALSE
- ABEL_PRODUCTION_VALIDATED
- FALSE
- B1_HH_REPRODUCTION_CLAIMED
- FALSE
- SIGN_VERDICT
- UNRESOLVED
- PRODUCTION_SIGN_FLIP
- NO
- GATE
- NO
- This is discovery evidence, not independent confirmation.
- OUR_NUMERICAL_CNG_STRUCTURE_CONFIRMED = FALSE.
- ASYMPTOTIC_STRUCTURE_MIXED_GLOBAL_CONFIRM = FALSE.
- The first surrogate discriminator is invalidated and must not be used for a CNG verdict.
- Offline re-score overall = OFFLINE_RESCORE_UNCLASSIFIED_CRITERIA_GAP.
- Historical statistic D remains FAIL.
- F is F_CRITERIA_GAP, not HOLD.
Frozen artifacts